Segunda Division · 2022/23
2023-04-09 · 17:30
11.8849.8%
X3.2828.5%
24.3121.7%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Cartagena
WWLLDLLWLW
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
Mirandes
DLDWDLLLWD
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Goals
0.90
Scored
1.00
1.30
Conceded
1.20
60%
Over 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
50%
By half
0.60
1H goals
0.90
1.60
2H goals
1.30
80%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
5.00N=10
For
3.20N=10
3.60
Against
4.90
8.60
Total
8.10
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
1.00
1.30
Goals conceded
1.20
2.20
Total goals
2.20
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Cartagena attack
0.90goals per matchMirandes conceded1.20Matchup
Mirandes attack
1.00goals per matchCartagena conceded1.30Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.40
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
0.60
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.00N=10
Corners for
3.20N=10
3.60
Corners against
4.90
8.60
Match total
8.10
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.70N=10
For
1.50N=10
5.60
Match total
3.80
Over 3.5
Fouls
15.30N=10
Committed
11.70N=10
30.20
Match total
26.10
Shots
14.70N=10
Shots
8.00N=10
4.50
On target
3.20
6%
Conversion
13%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches505
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home49.8%55.6%+5.9 pp
Draw28.5%26.3%-2.2 pp
Away21.7%18.0%-3.7 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.570.1%
Over 2.544.2%
Over 3.521.6%
BTTS46.5%
Historical average
1.56–0.85
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-112.7%
1-012.5%
2-012.3%
1-111.5%
0-010.5%
Comparable corner averages
5.64–3.95
Average total9.59
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=505.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.558.8%
Over 9.547.7%
Over 10.538.6%
Over 11.527.7%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches162
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT40.1%32.9%–47.8% CI
Draw FT42.6%35.2%–50.3% CI
Away FT17.3%12.2%–23.8% CI
Remaining goals
1.18
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal67.3%
2+ goals35.2%
3+ goals12.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home51.9%
Away35.8%