Segunda Division · 2022/23
2023-04-09 · 17:30
11.8849.8%
X3.2828.5%
24.3121.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Cartagena
WWLLDLLWLW
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
Mirandes
DLDWDLLLWD
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

0.90
Scored
1.00
1.30
Conceded
1.20
60%
Over 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.60
1H goals
0.90
1.60
2H goals
1.30
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.00N=10
For
3.20N=10
3.60
Against
4.90
8.60
Total
8.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
1.00
1.30
Goals conceded
1.20
2.20
Total goals
2.20
70%7/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
0%0/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Cartagena attack

0.90goals per match
Mirandes conceded1.20
Matchup

Mirandes attack

1.00goals per match
Cartagena conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.40
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.50
40%4/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.60
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.00N=10
Corners for
3.20N=10
3.60
Corners against
4.90
8.60
Match total
8.10
60%6/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.70N=10
For
1.50N=10
5.60
Match total
3.80
90%9/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

15.30N=10
Committed
11.70N=10
30.20
Match total
26.10

Shots

14.70N=10
Shots
8.00N=10
4.50
On target
3.20
6%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches505
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home49.8%55.6%+5.9 pp
Draw28.5%26.3%-2.2 pp
Away21.7%18.0%-3.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.1%
Over 2.544.2%
Over 3.521.6%
BTTS46.5%

Historical average

1.560.85

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-112.7%
1-012.5%
2-012.3%
1-111.5%
0-010.5%

Comparable corner averages

5.643.95
Average total9.59

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=505.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.558.8%
Over 9.547.7%
Over 10.538.6%
Over 11.527.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches162
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT40.1%32.9%–47.8% CI
Draw FT42.6%35.2%–50.3% CI
Away FT17.3%12.2%–23.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.18

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal67.3%
2+ goals35.2%
3+ goals12.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home51.9%
Away35.8%