Segunda Division · 2022/23
2023-04-02 · 20:00
12.2541.5%
X3.1529.6%
23.2328.9%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Mirandes
WWWWWLWDWL
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM
Ibiza
LLLLLLDLWD
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM
Goals
1.70
Scored
0.60
1.10
Conceded
1.80
60%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
30%
By half
1.30
1H goals
1.30
1.50
2H goals
1.10
80%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
4.70N=10
For
3.90N=10
3.80
Against
5.20
8.50
Total
9.10
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
0.60
1.10
Goals conceded
1.80
2.80
Total goals
2.40
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Mirandes attack
1.70goals per matchIbiza conceded1.80Matchup
Ibiza attack
0.60goals per matchMirandes conceded1.10Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.40
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.60
2H goals scored
0.20
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.70N=10
Corners for
3.90N=10
3.80
Corners against
5.20
8.50
Match total
9.10
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.80N=10
For
3.30N=10
4.00
Match total
5.40
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.20N=10
Committed
14.30N=10
25.10
Match total
26.40
Shots
11.30N=10
Shots
9.50N=10
4.30
On target
3.00
15%
Conversion
6%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches828
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home41.5%41.7%+0.2 pp
Draw29.6%32.4%+2.7 pp
Away28.9%26.0%-2.9 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.568.6%
Over 2.538.8%
Over 3.520.9%
BTTS49.8%
Historical average
1.28–1.00
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-116.4%
1-012.7%
0-010.6%
2-19.4%
0-18.1%
Comparable corner averages
5.15–4.45
Average total9.59
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=827.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.560.7%
Over 9.548.4%
Over 10.536.8%
Over 11.527.6%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches294
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT34.0%28.8%–39.6% CI
Draw FT43.2%37.7%–48.9% CI
Away FT22.8%18.4%–27.9% CI
Remaining goals
1.27
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal70.1%
2+ goals35.7%
3+ goals13.6%
Who scores in 2H
Home51.7%
Away41.8%