Segunda Division · 2022/23
2023-04-02 · 17:30
11.8849.7%
X3.3028.3%
24.2522.0%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Andorra
LWLDWLLWDD
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Malaga
LLDLDLDLLD
0W 4D 6L · 0.40 PPM
Goals
1.10
Scored
0.80
0.80
Conceded
1.40
30%
Over 2.5
40%
30%
BTTS
60%
By half
0.40
1H goals
0.80
1.50
2H goals
1.40
90%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
6.10N=10
For
4.00N=10
3.80
Against
5.00
9.90
Total
9.00
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
0.80
0.80
Goals conceded
1.40
1.90
Total goals
2.20
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Andorra attack
1.10goals per matchMalaga conceded1.40Matchup
Malaga attack
0.80goals per matchAndorra conceded0.80Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.40
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.90
2H goals scored
0.40
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.10N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
3.80
Corners against
5.00
9.90
Match total
9.00
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.50N=10
For
2.10N=10
3.80
Match total
4.20
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.40N=10
Committed
12.50N=10
22.40
Match total
26.10
Shots
14.90N=10
Shots
8.80N=10
4.80
On target
3.20
7%
Conversion
9%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches248
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home49.7%52.4%+2.7 pp
Draw28.3%29.0%+0.7 pp
Away22.0%18.5%-3.4 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.563.7%
Over 2.537.1%
Over 3.518.1%
BTTS41.9%
Historical average
1.41–0.81
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-017.7%
1-112.9%
0-011.7%
2-010.5%
2-110.1%
Comparable corner averages
5.28–3.85
Average total9.13
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=248.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.556.5%
Over 9.539.9%
Over 10.533.5%
Over 11.523.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches89
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT41.6%31.9%–52.0% CI
Draw FT41.6%31.9%–52.0% CI
Away FT16.9%10.5%–26.0% CI
Remaining goals
1.04
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal67.4%
2+ goals29.2%
3+ goals7.9%
Who scores in 2H
Home53.9%
Away30.3%