Segunda Division · 2022/23
2023-04-02 · 15:15
12.8632.6%
X2.8932.3%
22.6635.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Lugo
DDDLWLDLDD
1W 6D 3L · 0.90 PPM
Ponferradina
LLLDLDDDLD
0W 5D 5L · 0.50 PPM

Goals

0.50
Scored
0.50
0.80
Conceded
1.30
10%
Over 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
40%

By half

0.70
1H goals
0.80
0.60
2H goals
1.00
40%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

4.50N=10
For
3.60N=10
6.90
Against
6.90
11.40
Total
10.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.50
Goals scored
0.50
0.80
Goals conceded
1.30
1.30
Total goals
1.80
50%5/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
10%1/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
0%0/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
40%4/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Lugo attack

0.50goals per match
Ponferradina conceded1.30
Matchup

Ponferradina attack

0.50goals per match
Lugo conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.10
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.70
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
40%4/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
0.10
2H goals scored
0.40
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.60
40%4/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.50N=10
Corners for
3.60N=10
6.90
Corners against
6.90
11.40
Match total
10.50
80%8/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.80N=10
For
3.70N=10
5.40
Match total
5.50
80%8/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

14.60N=10
Committed
13.60N=10
26.20
Match total
24.90

Shots

11.00N=10
Shots
8.90N=10
3.00
On target
1.70
5%
Conversion
6%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches223
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home32.6%29.6%-3.0 pp
Draw32.3%39.0%+6.7 pp
Away35.1%31.4%-3.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.563.7%
Over 2.528.7%
Over 3.510.3%
BTTS44.4%

Historical average

0.940.98

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-119.3%
0-014.8%
1-011.7%
1-210.3%
2-09.9%

Comparable corner averages

4.354.62
Average total8.97

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=223.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.553.4%
Over 9.543.9%
Over 10.530.9%
Over 11.522.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches105
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT32.4%24.2%–41.8% CI
Draw FT45.7%36.5%–55.2% CI
Away FT21.9%15.1%–30.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.16

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal68.6%
2+ goals36.2%
3+ goals9.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home52.4%
Away38.1%