Segunda Division · 2022/23
2023-04-01 · 17:30
11.7553.6%
X3.3328.2%
25.1318.3%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Tenerife
LWLWDDWWLW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Villarreal B
DLLWLWWLLD
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Goals
1.10
Scored
0.60
0.70
Conceded
1.00
20%
Over 2.5
30%
30%
BTTS
30%
By half
0.90
1H goals
0.60
0.90
2H goals
1.00
60%
Goal in 2H
60%
Corners
7.10N=10
For
4.40N=10
4.40
Against
5.20
11.50
Total
9.60
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
0.60
0.70
Goals conceded
1.00
1.80
Total goals
1.60
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Tenerife attack
1.10goals per matchVillarreal B conceded1.00Matchup
Villarreal B attack
0.60goals per matchTenerife conceded0.70Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.20
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.50
2H goals scored
0.40
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
7.10N=10
Corners for
4.40N=10
4.40
Corners against
5.20
11.50
Match total
9.60
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.90N=10
For
2.50N=10
5.90
Match total
5.00
Over 3.5
Fouls
15.90N=10
Committed
9.20N=10
29.20
Match total
23.20
Shots
13.80N=10
Shots
10.00N=10
4.20
On target
3.60
8%
Conversion
6%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches66
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home53.6%51.5%-2.1 pp
Draw28.2%19.7%-8.5 pp
Away18.3%28.8%+10.5 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.569.7%
Over 2.536.4%
Over 3.516.7%
BTTS47.0%
Historical average
1.38–0.91
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-015.2%
1-113.6%
0-112.1%
1-012.1%
2-110.6%
Comparable corner averages
5.15–3.44
Average total8.59
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=66.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.548.5%
Over 9.534.8%
Over 10.521.2%
Over 11.516.7%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches24
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT33.3%18.0%–53.3% CI
Draw FT20.8%9.2%–40.5% CI
Away FT45.8%27.9%–64.9% CI
Remaining goals
1.33
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal83.3%
2+ goals33.3%
3+ goals12.5%
Who scores in 2H
Home41.7%
Away58.3%