Segunda Division · 2022/23
2023-04-01 · 15:15
12.3839.4%
X2.8333.2%
23.4227.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Burgos
WLDLDWDDLD
2W 5D 3L · 1.10 PPM
Santander
WLLWDLDLWD
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
1.00
1.10
Conceded
1.10
40%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.50
1H goals
0.70
1.60
2H goals
1.40
80%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

4.10N=10
For
4.70N=10
5.60
Against
3.70
9.70
Total
8.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
1.00
1.10
Goals conceded
1.10
2.10
Total goals
2.10
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
0%0/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Burgos attack

1.00goals per match
Santander conceded1.10
Matchup

Santander attack

1.00goals per match
Burgos conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.20
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.50
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.80
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.10N=10
Corners for
4.70N=10
5.60
Corners against
3.70
9.70
Match total
8.40
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.20N=10
For
3.00N=10
5.90
Match total
5.30
90%9/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

11.50N=10
Committed
13.00N=10
23.70
Match total
30.00

Shots

9.10N=10
Shots
11.00N=10
3.10
On target
4.20
11%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches59
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home39.4%30.5%-8.9 pp
Draw33.2%39.0%+5.8 pp
Away27.4%30.5%+3.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.549.2%
Over 2.523.7%
Over 3.513.6%
BTTS28.8%

Historical average

0.900.83

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-023.7%
0-113.6%
1-013.6%
1-111.9%
0-28.5%

Comparable corner averages

4.474.03
Average total8.51

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=59.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.547.5%
Over 9.539.0%
Over 10.523.7%
Over 11.515.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches32
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT25.0%13.3%–42.1% CI
Draw FT53.1%36.4%–69.1% CI
Away FT21.9%11.0%–38.8% CI

Remaining goals

0.88

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal56.3%
2+ goals25.0%
3+ goals3.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home34.4%
Away31.3%