Segunda Division · 2022/23
2023-03-27 · 20:00
13.1030.1%
X2.8732.5%
22.4937.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Malaga
DWDWDDLWLD
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM
Leganes
LWDDDLDLDL
1W 5D 4L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

0.90
Scored
0.70
0.60
Conceded
1.10
10%
Over 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
40%

By half

0.30
1H goals
0.70
1.20
2H goals
1.10
90%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

4.60N=10
For
4.20N=10
4.30
Against
4.30
8.90
Total
8.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
0.70
0.60
Goals conceded
1.10
1.50
Total goals
1.80
50%5/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
10%1/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
0%0/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
40%4/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Malaga attack

0.90goals per match
Leganes conceded1.10
Matchup

Leganes attack

0.70goals per match
Malaga conceded0.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.20
0.10
1H goals conceded
0.50
30%3/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.50
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.60N=10
Corners for
4.20N=10
4.30
Corners against
4.30
8.90
Match total
8.50
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
2.70N=10
5.50
Match total
5.60
80%8/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

12.70N=10
Committed
12.00N=10
27.80
Match total
27.40

Shots

11.40N=10
Shots
9.30N=10
3.60
On target
3.40
8%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches60
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home30.1%31.7%+1.6 pp
Draw32.5%28.3%-4.2 pp
Away37.4%40.0%+2.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.568.3%
Over 2.538.3%
Over 3.513.3%
BTTS53.3%

Historical average

1.051.10

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-116.7%
1-216.7%
0-111.7%
1-011.7%
2-010.0%

Comparable corner averages

3.734.72
Average total8.45

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=60.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.548.3%
Over 9.530.0%
Over 10.520.0%
Over 11.515.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches26
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT26.9%13.7%–46.1% CI
Draw FT34.6%19.4%–53.8% CI
Away FT38.5%22.4%–57.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.38

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal80.8%
2+ goals46.2%
3+ goals11.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.0%
Away57.7%