Segunda Division · 2022/23
2023-03-24 · 20:00
11.7254.7%
X3.4727.1%
25.1518.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Cartagena
DWWLLDLLWL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Lugo
LLWLLLLLLD
1W 1D 8L · 0.40 PPM

Goals

0.70
Scored
0.20
1.30
Conceded
1.70
60%
Over 2.5
30%
40%
BTTS
10%

By half

0.60
1H goals
0.70
1.40
2H goals
1.20
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.50N=10
For
3.10N=10
3.70
Against
8.90
9.20
Total
12.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.70
Goals scored
0.20
1.30
Goals conceded
1.70
2.00
Total goals
1.90
60%6/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
0%0/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
BTTS
10%1/10
Matchup

Cartagena attack

0.70goals per match
Lugo conceded1.70
Matchup

Lugo attack

0.20goals per match
Cartagena conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.10
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.60
40%4/10
Over 0.5 1H
40%4/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.10
0.90
2H goals conceded
1.10
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.50N=10
Corners for
3.10N=10
3.70
Corners against
8.90
9.20
Match total
12.00
70%7/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.60N=10
For
1.90N=10
5.30
Match total
3.60
80%8/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

15.70N=10
Committed
11.30N=10
30.20
Match total
22.90

Shots

14.10N=10
Shots
8.40N=10
4.20
On target
2.70
5%
Conversion
2%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches287
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home54.7%49.5%-5.2 pp
Draw27.1%29.3%+2.2 pp
Away18.3%21.3%+3.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.573.9%
Over 2.544.3%
Over 3.520.2%
BTTS49.8%

Historical average

1.540.92

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.3%
2-111.5%
2-011.5%
1-010.8%
0-18.0%

Comparable corner averages

5.783.71
Average total9.49

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=287.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.559.2%
Over 9.548.1%
Over 10.535.5%
Over 11.527.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches96
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT40.6%31.3%–50.6% CI
Draw FT35.4%26.6%–45.4% CI
Away FT24.0%16.5%–33.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.47

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal78.1%
2+ goals44.8%
3+ goals17.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home60.4%
Away44.8%