Segunda Division · 2022/23
2023-03-19 · 17:30
12.9531.8%
X2.8732.6%
22.6335.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Lugo
WDDDLWLDLD
2W 5D 3L · 1.10 PPM
Santander
DWLLWDLDLW
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

0.60
Scored
0.90
0.70
Conceded
1.00
10%
Over 2.5
40%
30%
BTTS
40%

By half

0.70
1H goals
0.60
0.60
2H goals
1.30
40%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.60N=10
For
3.50N=10
6.10
Against
4.20
10.70
Total
7.70
Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.60
Goals scored
0.90
0.70
Goals conceded
1.00
1.30
Total goals
1.90
50%5/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
10%1/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
0%0/10
Over 3.5
0%0/10
30%3/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Lugo attack

0.60goals per match
Santander conceded1.00
Matchup

Santander attack

0.90goals per match
Lugo conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.20
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.40
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.20
2H goals scored
0.70
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.60
40%4/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.60N=10
Corners for
3.50N=10
6.10
Corners against
4.20
10.70
Match total
7.70
70%7/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.90N=10
For
2.80N=10
5.30
Match total
5.20
80%8/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

15.00N=10
Committed
13.40N=10
27.00
Match total
30.70

Shots

10.70N=10
Shots
9.40N=10
2.90
On target
3.80
6%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches159
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home31.8%28.3%-3.4 pp
Draw32.6%32.7%+0.1 pp
Away35.6%39.0%+3.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.566.7%
Over 2.537.7%
Over 3.514.5%
BTTS45.9%

Historical average

0.971.14

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-013.8%
1-212.6%
1-111.9%
0-110.1%
1-09.4%

Comparable corner averages

4.084.46
Average total8.53

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=159.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.550.3%
Over 9.537.1%
Over 10.526.4%
Over 11.518.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches66
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT31.8%21.8%–43.8% CI
Draw FT42.4%31.2%–54.4% CI
Away FT25.8%16.7%–37.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.12

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal66.7%
2+ goals33.3%
3+ goals10.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home45.5%
Away37.9%