Segunda Division · 2022/23
2023-03-19 · 13:00
12.4338.5%
X2.8233.2%
23.3128.3%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Burgos
WWLDLDWDDL
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Sp Gijon
DLDDWLLLLL
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM
Goals
1.20
Scored
0.30
1.20
Conceded
0.90
50%
Over 2.5
10%
70%
BTTS
20%
By half
0.60
1H goals
0.70
1.80
2H goals
0.50
90%
Goal in 2H
50%
Corners
3.50N=10
For
4.60N=10
5.40
Against
4.30
8.90
Total
8.90
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
0.30
1.20
Goals conceded
0.90
2.40
Total goals
1.20
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Burgos attack
1.20goals per matchSp Gijon conceded0.90Matchup
Sp Gijon attack
0.30goals per matchBurgos conceded1.20Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.20
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.80
2H goals scored
0.10
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
3.50N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
5.40
Corners against
4.30
8.90
Match total
8.90
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.90N=10
For
3.10N=10
5.30
Match total
5.60
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.80N=10
Committed
14.60N=10
23.00
Match total
26.30
Shots
8.90N=10
Shots
11.90N=10
2.90
On target
2.70
13%
Conversion
3%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches52
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home38.5%30.8%-7.8 pp
Draw33.2%40.4%+7.2 pp
Away28.3%28.8%+0.6 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.550.0%
Over 2.528.8%
Over 3.517.3%
BTTS34.6%
Historical average
0.96–0.90
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-021.2%
0-115.4%
1-013.5%
1-113.5%
2-17.7%
Comparable corner averages
4.50–4.15
Average total8.65
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=52.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.548.1%
Over 9.538.5%
Over 10.526.9%
Over 11.517.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches25
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT24.0%11.5%–43.4% CI
Draw FT52.0%33.5%–70.0% CI
Away FT24.0%11.5%–43.4% CI
Remaining goals
0.80
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal56.0%
2+ goals16.0%
3+ goals4.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home32.0%
Away32.0%