Segunda Division · 2022/23
2023-03-19 · 13:00
12.4338.5%
X2.8233.2%
23.3128.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Burgos
WWLDLDWDDL
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Sp Gijon
DLDDWLLLLL
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
0.30
1.20
Conceded
0.90
50%
Over 2.5
10%
70%
BTTS
20%

By half

0.60
1H goals
0.70
1.80
2H goals
0.50
90%
Goal in 2H
50%

Corners

3.50N=10
For
4.60N=10
5.40
Against
4.30
8.90
Total
8.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
0.30
1.20
Goals conceded
0.90
2.40
Total goals
1.20
80%8/10
Over 1.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
10%1/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
0%0/10
70%7/10
BTTS
20%2/10
Matchup

Burgos attack

1.20goals per match
Sp Gijon conceded0.90
Matchup

Sp Gijon attack

0.30goals per match
Burgos conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.20
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.50
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
40%4/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.10
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.40
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
50%5/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.50N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
5.40
Corners against
4.30
8.90
Match total
8.90
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.90N=10
For
3.10N=10
5.30
Match total
5.60
80%8/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

10.80N=10
Committed
14.60N=10
23.00
Match total
26.30

Shots

8.90N=10
Shots
11.90N=10
2.90
On target
2.70
13%
Conversion
3%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches52
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home38.5%30.8%-7.8 pp
Draw33.2%40.4%+7.2 pp
Away28.3%28.8%+0.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.550.0%
Over 2.528.8%
Over 3.517.3%
BTTS34.6%

Historical average

0.960.90

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-021.2%
0-115.4%
1-013.5%
1-113.5%
2-17.7%

Comparable corner averages

4.504.15
Average total8.65

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=52.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.548.1%
Over 9.538.5%
Over 10.526.9%
Over 11.517.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches25
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT24.0%11.5%–43.4% CI
Draw FT52.0%33.5%–70.0% CI
Away FT24.0%11.5%–43.4% CI

Remaining goals

0.80

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal56.0%
2+ goals16.0%
3+ goals4.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home32.0%
Away32.0%