Segunda Division · 2022/23
2023-03-18 · 20:00
14.1022.8%
X3.0031.2%
22.0445.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Ponferradina
LWDLWWLDDL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Alaves
WDDLLLLWWL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

0.70
Scored
1.10
1.00
Conceded
1.10
30%
Over 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.80
1H goals
1.00
0.90
2H goals
1.20
60%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

3.90N=10
For
5.30N=10
3.90
Against
4.20
7.80
Total
9.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.70
Goals scored
1.10
1.00
Goals conceded
1.10
1.70
Total goals
2.20
50%5/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
0%0/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Ponferradina attack

0.70goals per match
Alaves conceded1.10
Matchup

Alaves attack

1.10goals per match
Ponferradina conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.40
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.30
2H goals scored
0.70
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.50
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.90N=10
Corners for
5.30N=10
3.90
Corners against
4.20
7.80
Match total
9.50
30%3/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.20N=10
For
2.90N=10
5.60
Match total
4.80
80%8/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

13.20N=10
Committed
14.90N=10
23.40
Match total
27.80

Shots

10.80N=10
Shots
8.60N=10
3.20
On target
2.40
6%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches15
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home22.8%26.7%+3.8 pp
Draw31.2%46.7%+15.4 pp
Away45.9%26.7%-19.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.560.0%
Over 2.540.0%
Over 3.526.7%
BTTS40.0%

Historical average

0.931.20

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-220.0%
1-020.0%
0-013.3%
0-313.3%
1-113.3%

Comparable corner averages

4.274.33
Average total8.60

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=15.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.553.3%
Over 9.533.3%
Over 10.520.0%
Over 11.513.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches17
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT35.3%17.3%–58.7% CI
Draw FT35.3%17.3%–58.7% CI
Away FT29.4%13.3%–53.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.24

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal70.6%
2+ goals35.3%
3+ goals17.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home47.1%
Away41.2%