Segunda Division · 2022/23
2023-03-12 · 20:00
11.5759.4%
X3.7325.0%
25.9715.6%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Granada
WDWWWWWWWW
9W 1D 0L · 2.80 PPM
Ponferradina
DLLLDLDDDL
0W 5D 5L · 0.50 PPM
Goals
1.70
Scored
0.40
0.10
Conceded
1.20
20%
Over 2.5
30%
10%
BTTS
40%
By half
0.80
1H goals
0.90
1.00
2H goals
0.70
70%
Goal in 2H
60%
Corners
5.00N=10
For
3.80N=10
4.20
Against
6.70
9.20
Total
10.50
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
0.40
0.10
Goals conceded
1.20
1.80
Total goals
1.60
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Granada attack
1.70goals per matchPonferradina conceded1.20Matchup
Ponferradina attack
0.40goals per matchGranada conceded0.10Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.10
0.10
1H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.00
2H goals scored
0.30
0.00
2H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.00N=10
Corners for
3.80N=10
4.20
Corners against
6.70
9.20
Match total
10.50
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
3.10N=10
For
3.90N=10
5.80
Match total
5.80
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.60N=10
Committed
14.20N=10
24.20
Match total
26.60
Shots
13.10N=10
Shots
9.20N=10
4.80
On target
1.50
13%
Conversion
4%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches84
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home59.4%65.5%+6.1 pp
Draw25.0%25.0%+0.0 pp
Away15.6%9.5%-6.1 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.571.4%
Over 2.552.4%
Over 3.525.0%
BTTS39.3%
Historical average
1.80–0.69
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-019.0%
3-014.3%
2-211.9%
2-011.9%
2-110.7%
Comparable corner averages
5.75–3.50
Average total9.25
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=84.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.559.5%
Over 9.546.4%
Over 10.532.1%
Over 11.521.4%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches30
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT63.3%45.5%–78.1% CI
Draw FT33.3%19.2%–51.2% CI
Away FT3.3%0.6%–16.7% CI
Remaining goals
1.37
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal76.7%
2+ goals36.7%
3+ goals16.7%
Who scores in 2H
Home73.3%
Away23.3%