Segunda Division · 2022/23
2023-03-11 · 20:00
11.5460.8%
X3.7225.2%
26.6514.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Las Palmas
WLDWLDWWWW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Malaga
LLLDLDLDLL
0W 3D 7L · 0.30 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
0.60
0.80
Conceded
1.30
40%
Over 2.5
30%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.70
1H goals
0.60
1.60
2H goals
1.30
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

8.40N=10
For
4.40N=10
1.90
Against
4.80
10.30
Total
9.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
0.60
0.80
Goals conceded
1.30
2.30
Total goals
1.90
80%8/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Las Palmas attack

1.50goals per match
Malaga conceded1.30
Matchup

Malaga attack

0.60goals per match
Las Palmas conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.30
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.30
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
40%4/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.30
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.00
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
8.40N=10
Corners for
4.40N=10
1.90
Corners against
4.80
10.30
Match total
9.20
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
100%10/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
2.30N=10
5.20
Match total
4.10
80%8/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

11.90N=10
Committed
11.70N=10
24.10
Match total
24.70

Shots

18.50N=10
Shots
9.00N=10
6.20
On target
2.70
8%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches54
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home60.8%66.7%+5.9 pp
Draw25.2%25.9%+0.8 pp
Away14.1%7.4%-6.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.575.9%
Over 2.550.0%
Over 3.524.1%
BTTS50.0%

Historical average

1.780.74

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-118.5%
1-016.7%
2-014.8%
2-29.3%
1-19.3%

Comparable corner averages

5.593.43
Average total9.02

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=54.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.557.4%
Over 9.542.6%
Over 10.531.5%
Over 11.518.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches16
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT62.5%38.6%–81.5% CI
Draw FT31.3%14.2%–55.6% CI
Away FT6.3%1.1%–28.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.38

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.3%
2+ goals37.5%
3+ goals12.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home75.0%
Away31.3%