Segunda Division · 2022/23
2023-03-11 · 17:30
12.5836.3%
X2.9731.5%
22.9032.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Ibiza
LLDLWDLDDD
1W 5D 4L · 0.80 PPM
Villarreal B
LDLLWLWWLL
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
0.70
1.40
Conceded
1.20
40%
Over 2.5
40%
70%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.40
1H goals
0.70
1.00
2H goals
1.20
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.70N=10
For
4.30N=10
5.40
Against
5.60
11.10
Total
9.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
0.70
1.40
Goals conceded
1.20
2.40
Total goals
1.90
80%8/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
0%0/10
70%7/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Ibiza attack

1.00goals per match
Villarreal B conceded1.20
Matchup

Villarreal B attack

0.70goals per match
Ibiza conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.20
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.50
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.40
2H goals scored
0.50
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.70N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
5.40
Corners against
5.60
11.10
Match total
9.90
90%9/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.60N=10
For
2.60N=10
5.60
Match total
5.20
90%9/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

15.10N=10
Committed
8.60N=10
28.20
Match total
21.70

Shots

10.70N=10
Shots
9.50N=10
4.40
On target
3.50
9%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches446
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home36.3%31.4%-4.9 pp
Draw31.5%37.7%+6.2 pp
Away32.3%30.9%-1.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.564.6%
Over 2.537.7%
Over 3.516.8%
BTTS50.0%

Historical average

1.051.07

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-117.5%
0-013.9%
1-011.4%
0-110.1%
2-19.2%

Comparable corner averages

4.884.35
Average total9.23

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=446.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.556.1%
Over 9.547.1%
Over 10.534.5%
Over 11.523.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches163
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT28.2%21.9%–35.6% CI
Draw FT50.9%43.3%–58.5% CI
Away FT20.9%15.3%–27.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.06

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal62.0%
2+ goals30.1%
3+ goals10.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home46.0%
Away38.7%