Segunda Division · 2022/23
2023-03-11 · 17:30
11.3967.4%
X4.2222.2%
29.0510.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Alaves
DWWWLWWWWD
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Lugo
LLLWLLLLLL
1W 0D 9L · 0.30 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
0.40
0.50
Conceded
2.00
30%
Over 2.5
40%
20%
BTTS
20%

By half

0.90
1H goals
0.80
1.10
2H goals
1.60
70%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.90N=10
For
3.10N=10
2.60
Against
8.90
8.50
Total
12.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
0.40
0.50
Goals conceded
2.00
2.00
Total goals
2.40
60%6/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
20%2/10
BTTS
20%2/10
Matchup

Alaves attack

1.50goals per match
Lugo conceded2.00
Matchup

Lugo attack

0.40goals per match
Alaves conceded0.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.10
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.70
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.30
0.20
2H goals conceded
1.30
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.90N=10
Corners for
3.10N=10
2.60
Corners against
8.90
8.50
Match total
12.00
40%4/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.50N=10
For
1.90N=10
5.90
Match total
3.60
90%9/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

13.90N=10
Committed
10.70N=10
29.10
Match total
22.10

Shots

13.90N=10
Shots
9.10N=10
4.30
On target
3.20
11%
Conversion
4%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches13
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home67.4%84.6%+17.2 pp
Draw22.2%15.4%-6.8 pp
Away10.4%0.0%-10.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.576.9%
Over 2.546.2%
Over 3.515.4%
BTTS23.1%

Historical average

2.150.38

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

3-023.1%
2-023.1%
1-015.4%
4-37.7%
4-07.7%

Comparable corner averages

6.152.54
Average total8.69

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=13.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.546.2%
Over 9.538.5%
Over 10.530.8%
Over 11.57.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT60.0%31.3%–83.2% CI
Draw FT30.0%10.8%–60.3% CI
Away FT10.0%1.8%–40.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.60

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal90.0%
2+ goals60.0%
3+ goals10.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home90.0%
Away30.0%