Segunda Division · 2022/23
2023-03-06 · 20:00
13.8424.4%
X3.1629.7%
22.0445.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Villarreal B
DWWWDDLLLW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Alaves
LWDDLLLLWW
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
1.10
1.20
Conceded
1.30
50%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.70
1H goals
0.90
1.70
2H goals
1.50
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.50N=10
For
5.10N=10
4.20
Against
4.10
8.70
Total
9.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.10
1.20
Goals conceded
1.30
2.40
Total goals
2.40
60%6/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Villarreal B attack

1.20goals per match
Alaves conceded1.30
Matchup

Alaves attack

1.10goals per match
Villarreal B conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.40
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.50
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.70
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.80
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.50N=10
Corners for
5.10N=10
4.20
Corners against
4.10
8.70
Match total
9.20
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.40N=10
For
2.70N=10
5.20
Match total
4.70
70%7/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

13.80N=10
Committed
14.40N=10
29.80
Match total
28.00

Shots

13.10N=10
Shots
8.40N=10
5.00
On target
2.50
9%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches57
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home24.4%22.8%-1.6 pp
Draw29.7%33.3%+3.7 pp
Away45.9%43.9%-2.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.559.6%
Over 2.522.8%
Over 3.57.0%
BTTS36.8%

Historical average

0.721.07

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-119.3%
0-117.5%
0-012.3%
1-010.5%
1-28.8%

Comparable corner averages

3.755.30
Average total9.05

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=57.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.552.6%
Over 9.543.9%
Over 10.536.8%
Over 11.528.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches27
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT29.6%15.9%–48.5% CI
Draw FT33.3%18.6%–52.2% CI
Away FT37.0%21.5%–55.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.11

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal74.1%
2+ goals29.6%
3+ goals7.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home40.7%
Away44.4%