Segunda Division · 2022/23
2023-03-05 · 17:30
12.2741.2%
X2.9531.7%
23.4627.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Malaga
WLDWDWDDLW
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Santander
DDWLLWDLDL
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
0.80
0.80
Conceded
1.00
20%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
40%

By half

0.50
1H goals
0.60
1.50
2H goals
1.20
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.60N=10
For
3.60N=10
3.70
Against
4.00
8.30
Total
7.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
0.80
0.80
Goals conceded
1.00
2.00
Total goals
1.80
60%6/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
0%0/10
50%5/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Malaga attack

1.20goals per match
Santander conceded1.00
Matchup

Santander attack

0.80goals per match
Malaga conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.20
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.40
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.60
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.60N=10
Corners for
3.60N=10
3.70
Corners against
4.00
8.30
Match total
7.60
50%5/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
2.40N=10
5.10
Match total
4.80
70%7/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

11.50N=10
Committed
12.90N=10
25.30
Match total
30.80

Shots

11.10N=10
Shots
9.10N=10
3.90
On target
3.20
11%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches268
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home41.2%41.8%+0.6 pp
Draw31.7%31.3%-0.4 pp
Away27.0%26.9%-0.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.567.5%
Over 2.539.2%
Over 3.514.6%
BTTS45.5%

Historical average

1.250.93

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.7%
0-012.7%
1-010.8%
2-110.1%
2-09.3%

Comparable corner averages

5.004.11
Average total9.11

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=268.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.553.0%
Over 9.543.7%
Over 10.531.0%
Over 11.522.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches98
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT33.7%25.1%–43.5% CI
Draw FT48.0%38.3%–57.7% CI
Away FT18.4%11.9%–27.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.10

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal65.3%
2+ goals31.6%
3+ goals11.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home49.0%
Away35.7%