Segunda Division · 2022/23
2023-03-05 · 17:30
13.4926.8%
X2.9631.6%
22.2541.6%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Lugo
LWDDDLWLDL
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Zaragoza
LWLDDLWLWL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Goals
0.60
Scored
0.90
0.80
Conceded
1.20
10%
Over 2.5
40%
30%
BTTS
30%
By half
0.70
1H goals
0.60
0.70
2H goals
1.50
50%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
4.40N=10
For
4.50N=10
6.80
Against
5.70
11.20
Total
10.20
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.60
Goals scored
0.90
0.80
Goals conceded
1.20
1.40
Total goals
2.10
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Lugo attack
0.60goals per matchZaragoza conceded1.20Matchup
Zaragoza attack
0.90goals per matchLugo conceded0.80Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.20
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.20
2H goals scored
0.70
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.40N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
6.80
Corners against
5.70
11.20
Match total
10.20
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
3.00N=10
For
2.40N=10
5.40
Match total
4.70
Over 3.5
Fouls
15.40N=10
Committed
13.30N=10
27.10
Match total
22.80
Shots
10.60N=10
Shots
8.70N=10
2.70
On target
3.10
6%
Conversion
10%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches61
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home26.8%39.3%+12.5 pp
Draw31.6%23.0%-8.7 pp
Away41.6%37.7%-3.9 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.560.7%
Over 2.532.8%
Over 3.514.8%
BTTS36.1%
Historical average
1.02–1.05
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-016.4%
0-114.8%
0-211.5%
2-19.8%
0-08.2%
Comparable corner averages
3.77–4.85
Average total8.62
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=61.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.549.2%
Over 9.532.8%
Over 10.519.7%
Over 11.514.8%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches19
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT26.3%11.8%–48.8% CI
Draw FT26.3%11.8%–48.8% CI
Away FT47.4%27.3%–68.3% CI
Remaining goals
0.89
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal73.7%
2+ goals15.8%
3+ goals0.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home26.3%
Away47.4%