Segunda Division · 2022/23
2023-03-05 · 17:30
13.4926.8%
X2.9631.6%
22.2541.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Lugo
LWDDDLWLDL
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Zaragoza
LWLDDLWLWL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

0.60
Scored
0.90
0.80
Conceded
1.20
10%
Over 2.5
40%
30%
BTTS
30%

By half

0.70
1H goals
0.60
0.70
2H goals
1.50
50%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.40N=10
For
4.50N=10
6.80
Against
5.70
11.20
Total
10.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.60
Goals scored
0.90
0.80
Goals conceded
1.20
1.40
Total goals
2.10
50%5/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
10%1/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
0%0/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
30%3/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Lugo attack

0.60goals per match
Zaragoza conceded1.20
Matchup

Zaragoza attack

0.90goals per match
Lugo conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.20
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.40
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
40%4/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.20
2H goals scored
0.70
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.80
50%5/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.40N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
6.80
Corners against
5.70
11.20
Match total
10.20
80%8/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.00N=10
For
2.40N=10
5.40
Match total
4.70
90%9/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

15.40N=10
Committed
13.30N=10
27.10
Match total
22.80

Shots

10.60N=10
Shots
8.70N=10
2.70
On target
3.10
6%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches61
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home26.8%39.3%+12.5 pp
Draw31.6%23.0%-8.7 pp
Away41.6%37.7%-3.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.560.7%
Over 2.532.8%
Over 3.514.8%
BTTS36.1%

Historical average

1.021.05

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-016.4%
0-114.8%
0-211.5%
2-19.8%
0-08.2%

Comparable corner averages

3.774.85
Average total8.62

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=61.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.549.2%
Over 9.532.8%
Over 10.519.7%
Over 11.514.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches19
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT26.3%11.8%–48.8% CI
Draw FT26.3%11.8%–48.8% CI
Away FT47.4%27.3%–68.3% CI

Remaining goals

0.89

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal73.7%
2+ goals15.8%
3+ goals0.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home26.3%
Away47.4%