Segunda Division · 2022/23
2023-02-19 · 17:30
12.8632.7%
X2.8033.4%
22.7633.9%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Burgos
DWWWLDLDWD
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Albacete
WDDDLLWDWL
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Goals
1.30
Scored
1.10
0.80
Conceded
1.50
50%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
60%
By half
0.50
1H goals
1.20
1.60
2H goals
1.40
80%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
2.80N=10
For
3.90N=10
6.60
Against
6.10
9.40
Total
10.00
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.10
0.80
Goals conceded
1.50
2.10
Total goals
2.60
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Burgos attack
1.30goals per matchAlbacete conceded1.50Matchup
Albacete attack
1.10goals per matchBurgos conceded0.80Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.50
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.00
2H goals scored
0.60
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
2.80N=10
Corners for
3.90N=10
6.60
Corners against
6.10
9.40
Match total
10.00
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.90N=10
For
2.50N=10
5.10
Match total
6.10
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.10N=10
Committed
14.00N=10
23.10
Match total
28.80
Shots
9.50N=10
Shots
9.50N=10
3.00
On target
4.00
14%
Conversion
12%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches88
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home32.7%26.1%-6.6 pp
Draw33.4%43.2%+9.8 pp
Away33.9%30.7%-3.2 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.570.5%
Over 2.536.4%
Over 3.515.9%
BTTS51.1%
Historical average
0.99–1.11
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-121.6%
0-014.8%
2-19.1%
0-19.1%
1-26.8%
Comparable corner averages
4.11–4.31
Average total8.42
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=88.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.547.7%
Over 9.534.1%
Over 10.521.6%
Over 11.512.5%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches29
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT13.8%5.5%–30.6% CI
Draw FT58.6%40.7%–74.5% CI
Away FT27.6%14.7%–45.7% CI
Remaining goals
0.83
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal55.2%
2+ goals24.1%
3+ goals3.4%
Who scores in 2H
Home31.0%
Away41.4%