Segunda Division · 2022/23
2023-02-19 · 15:15
11.4863.4%
X3.8924.1%
27.4812.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Alaves
WDDWWWLWWW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Ibiza
LDLLLLLLLD
0W 2D 8L · 0.20 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
0.20
0.40
Conceded
1.60
30%
Over 2.5
30%
20%
BTTS
20%

By half

0.80
1H goals
0.90
1.00
2H goals
0.90
70%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

6.10N=10
For
4.00N=10
2.60
Against
5.50
8.70
Total
9.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
0.20
0.40
Goals conceded
1.60
1.80
Total goals
1.80
60%6/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
20%2/10
BTTS
20%2/10
Matchup

Alaves attack

1.40goals per match
Ibiza conceded1.60
Matchup

Ibiza attack

0.20goals per match
Alaves conceded0.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.20
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.70
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.00
0.10
2H goals conceded
0.90
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.10N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
2.60
Corners against
5.50
8.70
Match total
9.50
40%4/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.70N=10
For
3.10N=10
6.30
Match total
5.30
90%9/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

14.50N=10
Committed
13.90N=10
28.40
Match total
27.20

Shots

13.40N=10
Shots
10.00N=10
4.30
On target
3.10
10%
Conversion
2%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches21
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home63.4%71.4%+8.1 pp
Draw24.1%28.6%+4.5 pp
Away12.5%0.0%-12.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.561.9%
Over 2.528.6%
Over 3.519.0%
BTTS38.1%

Historical average

1.810.43

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-028.6%
2-019.0%
1-114.3%
0-09.5%
5-14.8%

Comparable corner averages

5.143.33
Average total8.48

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=21.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.542.9%
Over 9.528.6%
Over 10.528.6%
Over 11.514.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches19
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT68.4%46.0%–84.6% CI
Draw FT26.3%11.8%–48.8% CI
Away FT5.3%0.9%–24.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.00

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal73.7%
2+ goals21.1%
3+ goals5.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home68.4%
Away10.5%