Segunda Division · 2021/22
2022-05-28 · 17:15
12.3839.4%
X3.2229.1%
22.9831.5%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Lugo
WWWDWDWDLL
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Malaga
WLDLWLLWLW
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
Goals
1.00
Scored
1.00
0.90
Conceded
1.10
30%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
30%
By half
0.70
1H goals
0.70
1.20
2H goals
1.40
80%
Goal in 2H
100%
Corners
4.00N=10
For
3.70N=10
5.80
Against
5.90
9.80
Total
9.60
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
1.00
0.90
Goals conceded
1.10
1.90
Total goals
2.10
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Lugo attack
1.00goals per matchMalaga conceded1.10Matchup
Malaga attack
1.00goals per matchLugo conceded0.90Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.30
0.10
1H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.40
2H goals scored
0.70
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.00N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
5.80
Corners against
5.90
9.80
Match total
9.60
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.30N=10
For
3.20N=10
4.00
Match total
5.70
Over 3.5
Fouls
15.60N=10
Committed
13.40N=10
28.60
Match total
29.30
Shots
11.70N=10
Shots
7.00N=10
4.30
On target
3.30
9%
Conversion
14%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches534
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home39.4%38.4%-1.0 pp
Draw29.1%32.4%+3.3 pp
Away31.5%29.2%-2.3 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.569.7%
Over 2.541.4%
Over 3.524.3%
BTTS50.9%
Historical average
1.27–1.14
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-115.4%
1-010.7%
0-09.9%
0-19.7%
2-19.4%
Comparable corner averages
5.24–4.72
Average total9.96
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=534.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.565.4%
Over 9.554.7%
Over 10.541.4%
Over 11.529.8%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches196
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT24.5%19.0%–31.0% CI
Draw FT44.9%38.1%–51.9% CI
Away FT30.6%24.6%–37.4% CI
Remaining goals
1.34
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal73.0%
2+ goals41.3%
3+ goals13.8%
Who scores in 2H
Home47.4%
Away53.6%