Segunda Division · 2021/22
2022-05-21 · 19:00
11.7154.8%
X3.4127.5%
25.3117.7%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Malaga
LDLLDDLDLD
0W 5D 5L · 0.50 PPM
Burgos
LLLWLWLLDL
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM
Goals
0.60
Scored
0.70
1.80
Conceded
1.50
40%
Over 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
40%
By half
0.70
1H goals
0.90
1.70
2H goals
1.30
80%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
4.30N=10
For
4.70N=10
4.10
Against
5.40
8.40
Total
10.10
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.60
Goals scored
0.70
1.80
Goals conceded
1.50
2.40
Total goals
2.20
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Malaga attack
0.60goals per matchBurgos conceded1.50Matchup
Burgos attack
0.70goals per matchMalaga conceded1.80Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.20
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.30
2H goals scored
0.50
1.40
2H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.30N=10
Corners for
4.70N=10
4.10
Corners against
5.40
8.40
Match total
10.10
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
3.20N=10
For
2.00N=10
6.10
Match total
4.00
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.80N=10
Committed
11.30N=10
26.70
Match total
23.90
Shots
11.30N=10
Shots
8.80N=10
3.20
On target
3.10
5%
Conversion
8%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches131
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home54.8%51.1%-3.7 pp
Draw27.5%28.2%+0.7 pp
Away17.7%20.6%+3.0 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.569.5%
Over 2.536.6%
Over 3.518.3%
BTTS45.8%
Historical average
1.48–0.79
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-116.8%
2-013.7%
1-011.5%
0-19.9%
2-19.9%
Comparable corner averages
4.97–3.45
Average total8.42
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=131.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.550.4%
Over 9.533.6%
Over 10.524.4%
Over 11.518.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches50
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT38.0%25.9%–51.8% CI
Draw FT34.0%22.4%–47.8% CI
Away FT28.0%17.5%–41.7% CI
Remaining goals
1.22
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal76.0%
2+ goals34.0%
3+ goals10.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home50.0%
Away42.0%