Segunda Division · 2021/22
2022-05-08 · 17:15
11.7653.1%
X3.5126.6%
24.5920.3%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Zaragoza
WLDDWWWDWD
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM
Alcorcon
LDLLLDLDWL
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM
Goals
1.00
Scored
1.10
0.60
Conceded
2.10
20%
Over 2.5
60%
40%
BTTS
60%
By half
0.70
1H goals
1.40
0.90
2H goals
1.80
60%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
6.20N=10
For
3.30N=10
3.40
Against
4.40
9.60
Total
7.70
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
1.10
0.60
Goals conceded
2.10
1.60
Total goals
3.20
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Zaragoza attack
1.00goals per matchAlcorcon conceded2.10Matchup
Alcorcon attack
1.10goals per matchZaragoza conceded0.60Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.60
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
0.50
0.20
2H goals conceded
1.30
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.20N=10
Corners for
3.30N=10
3.40
Corners against
4.40
9.60
Match total
7.70
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.80N=10
For
1.80N=10
4.50
Match total
3.40
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.30N=10
Committed
14.20N=10
27.20
Match total
29.50
Shots
13.50N=10
Shots
12.60N=10
4.00
On target
3.50
7%
Conversion
9%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches219
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home53.1%49.8%-3.3 pp
Draw26.6%29.7%+3.1 pp
Away20.3%20.5%+0.2 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.577.6%
Over 2.548.4%
Over 3.525.6%
BTTS56.2%
Historical average
1.59–1.00
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-116.0%
2-112.8%
1-09.1%
2-08.7%
0-17.3%
Comparable corner averages
5.88–3.80
Average total9.68
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=219.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.560.7%
Over 9.550.2%
Over 10.536.5%
Over 11.527.4%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches65
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT41.5%30.4%–53.7% CI
Draw FT35.4%24.9%–47.5% CI
Away FT23.1%14.5%–34.6% CI
Remaining goals
1.63
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal80.0%
2+ goals50.8%
3+ goals18.5%
Who scores in 2H
Home61.5%
Away50.8%