Segunda Division · 2021/22
2022-05-07 · 20:00
11.6656.3%
X3.7025.3%
25.0818.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Ponferradina
WDDLWDDLWW
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Burgos
WLLLWLWLLD
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
0.70
1.40
Conceded
1.20
70%
Over 2.5
30%
90%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.40
1H goals
0.80
1.80
2H goals
1.10
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.20N=10
For
4.60N=10
4.80
Against
5.80
9.00
Total
10.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
0.70
1.40
Goals conceded
1.20
3.20
Total goals
1.90
90%9/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
90%9/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Ponferradina attack

1.80goals per match
Burgos conceded1.20
Matchup

Burgos attack

0.70goals per match
Ponferradina conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.30
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.50
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
80%8/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.40
1.10
2H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.20N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
4.80
Corners against
5.80
9.00
Match total
10.40
50%5/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.40N=10
For
2.00N=10
4.30
Match total
4.00
60%6/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

11.10N=10
Committed
12.60N=10
23.50
Match total
24.50

Shots

11.40N=10
Shots
8.30N=10
3.90
On target
3.00
16%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches217
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home56.3%56.7%+0.4 pp
Draw25.3%25.3%+0.1 pp
Away18.4%18.0%-0.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.577.0%
Over 2.548.8%
Over 3.521.2%
BTTS53.0%

Historical average

1.660.88

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.7%
1-013.8%
2-113.8%
2-09.2%
1-27.8%

Comparable corner averages

5.883.80
Average total9.67

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=217.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.557.6%
Over 9.548.8%
Over 10.539.6%
Over 11.528.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches77
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT50.6%39.7%–61.5% CI
Draw FT32.5%23.1%–43.5% CI
Away FT16.9%10.1%–26.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.68

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.8%
2+ goals53.2%
3+ goals26.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home72.7%
Away42.9%