Segunda Division · 2021/22
2022-04-30 · 19:30
13.8224.5%
X3.2029.3%
22.0346.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Burgos
WWDWWLDWDW
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
Almeria
WDDLLWLWDD
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
0.90
0.50
Conceded
1.10
50%
Over 2.5
20%
30%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.00
1.00
2H goals
1.00
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.70N=10
For
4.70N=10
4.80
Against
4.40
10.50
Total
9.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
0.90
0.50
Goals conceded
1.10
2.20
Total goals
2.00
60%6/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
20%2/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
30%3/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Burgos attack

1.70goals per match
Almeria conceded1.10
Matchup

Almeria attack

0.90goals per match
Burgos conceded0.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.30
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.70
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.60
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.70N=10
Corners for
4.70N=10
4.80
Corners against
4.40
10.50
Match total
9.10
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
2.80N=10
4.20
Match total
5.20
70%7/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

11.10N=10
Committed
13.50N=10
23.30
Match total
25.10

Shots

12.50N=10
Shots
10.10N=10
4.50
On target
3.50
14%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches53
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home24.5%26.4%+1.9 pp
Draw29.3%26.4%-2.9 pp
Away46.2%47.2%+1.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.550.9%
Over 2.524.5%
Over 3.511.3%
BTTS35.8%

Historical average

0.811.00

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-122.6%
0-015.1%
1-211.3%
1-011.3%
1-111.3%

Comparable corner averages

4.115.40
Average total9.51

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=53.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.554.7%
Over 9.549.1%
Over 10.543.4%
Over 11.534.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches26
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT30.8%16.5%–50.0% CI
Draw FT34.6%19.4%–53.8% CI
Away FT34.6%19.4%–53.8% CI

Remaining goals

0.88

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal69.2%
2+ goals19.2%
3+ goals0.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home34.6%
Away38.5%