Segunda Division · 2021/22
2022-04-17 · 15:00
12.3539.7%
X3.0330.8%
23.1629.5%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Burgos
WWWDWWLDWD
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
Ibiza
WDDWWLLDLL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Goals
1.60
Scored
1.10
0.40
Conceded
1.40
40%
Over 2.5
40%
20%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.20
1H goals
0.90
0.80
2H goals
1.60
70%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
5.50N=10
For
4.50N=10
4.60
Against
4.30
10.10
Total
8.80
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.10
0.40
Goals conceded
1.40
2.00
Total goals
2.50
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Burgos attack
1.60goals per matchIbiza conceded1.40Matchup
Ibiza attack
1.10goals per matchBurgos conceded0.40Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.20
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.60
2H goals scored
0.90
0.20
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.50N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
4.60
Corners against
4.30
10.10
Match total
8.80
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.80N=10
For
2.20N=10
4.00
Match total
3.70
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.90N=10
Committed
16.10N=10
23.60
Match total
27.10
Shots
12.60N=10
Shots
9.80N=10
4.80
On target
3.30
13%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches507
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home39.7%40.6%+0.9 pp
Draw30.8%31.8%+1.0 pp
Away29.5%27.6%-1.9 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.564.7%
Over 2.535.5%
Over 3.517.6%
BTTS45.4%
Historical average
1.19–0.96
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-115.8%
1-013.6%
0-011.0%
0-110.7%
2-08.7%
Comparable corner averages
4.85–4.44
Average total9.28
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=507.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.557.4%
Over 9.543.8%
Over 10.533.7%
Over 11.524.5%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches195
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT31.8%25.7%–38.6% CI
Draw FT44.1%37.3%–51.1% CI
Away FT24.1%18.6%–30.6% CI
Remaining goals
1.26
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal71.3%
2+ goals35.4%
3+ goals13.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home50.8%
Away44.1%