Segunda Division · 2021/22
2022-04-17 · 13:00
11.9548.0%
X3.2928.5%
23.9823.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Ponferradina
DWWDDLWDDL
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM
Lugo
DDDDDLDDLL
0W 7D 3L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
1.10
1.30
Conceded
1.60
60%
Over 2.5
30%
90%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.00
1.80
2H goals
1.70
90%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

4.90N=10
For
2.50N=10
4.30
Against
6.20
9.20
Total
8.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongBoth teams scored

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.10
1.30
Goals conceded
1.60
2.90
Total goals
2.70
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
90%9/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Ponferradina attack

1.60goals per match
Lugo conceded1.60
Matchup

Lugo attack

1.10goals per match
Ponferradina conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.50
0.10
1H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
70%7/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.60
1.20
2H goals conceded
1.10
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.90N=10
Corners for
2.50N=10
4.30
Corners against
6.20
9.20
Match total
8.70
60%6/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
2.60N=10
4.10
Match total
5.10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

11.50N=10
Committed
15.10N=10
23.20
Match total
27.60

Shots

12.20N=10
Shots
10.10N=10
4.40
On target
2.90
13%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches403
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home48.0%47.4%-0.6 pp
Draw28.5%31.3%+2.8 pp
Away23.5%21.3%-2.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.569.5%
Over 2.542.2%
Over 3.524.8%
BTTS50.4%

Historical average

1.460.97

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.4%
1-012.9%
0-010.2%
2-19.2%
2-07.9%

Comparable corner averages

5.604.06
Average total9.66

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=403.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.559.6%
Over 9.548.1%
Over 10.537.7%
Over 11.530.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches128
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT34.4%26.7%–43.0% CI
Draw FT43.0%34.7%–51.6% CI
Away FT22.7%16.3%–30.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.17

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal68.0%
2+ goals33.6%
3+ goals11.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home49.2%
Away39.1%