Segunda Division · 2021/22
2022-04-11 · 20:00
11.5859.2%
X3.7624.9%
25.8616.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Almeria
WDWLLWWWDL
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Ponferradina
LWDLWLWDDL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
1.00
1.00
Conceded
1.50
50%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.80
1H goals
1.10
1.80
2H goals
1.40
70%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.70N=10
For
4.10N=10
3.70
Against
5.20
9.40
Total
9.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.00
1.00
Goals conceded
1.50
2.60
Total goals
2.50
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Almeria attack

1.60goals per match
Ponferradina conceded1.50
Matchup

Ponferradina attack

1.00goals per match
Almeria conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.70
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.40
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
0%0/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
1.40
2H goals scored
0.30
0.40
2H goals conceded
1.10
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.70N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
3.70
Corners against
5.20
9.40
Match total
9.30
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
2.90N=10
5.10
Match total
4.80
80%8/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

11.20N=10
Committed
12.70N=10
23.90
Match total
25.20

Shots

17.90N=10
Shots
10.10N=10
6.00
On target
2.30
9%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches110
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home59.2%60.0%+0.8 pp
Draw24.9%22.7%-2.1 pp
Away16.0%17.3%+1.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.571.8%
Over 2.543.6%
Over 3.528.2%
BTTS37.3%

Historical average

1.840.71

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-015.5%
2-013.6%
1-110.9%
3-010.0%
0-18.2%

Comparable corner averages

5.823.70
Average total9.52

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=110.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.559.1%
Over 9.546.4%
Over 10.531.8%
Over 11.523.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches39
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT53.8%38.6%–68.4% CI
Draw FT25.6%14.6%–41.1% CI
Away FT20.5%10.8%–35.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.44

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal87.2%
2+ goals41.0%
3+ goals12.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home69.2%
Away38.5%