Segunda Division · 2021/22
2022-04-08 · 20:00
12.4039.0%
X3.1130.1%
23.0430.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Lugo
DLDDWWWDWD
4W 5D 1L · 1.70 PPM
Cartagena
DLLDWWLDLL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
0.90
0.90
Conceded
1.60
40%
Over 2.5
40%
70%
BTTS
70%

By half

0.80
1H goals
1.30
1.30
2H goals
1.20
90%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

5.10N=10
For
3.40N=10
6.40
Against
4.80
11.50
Total
8.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
0.90
0.90
Goals conceded
1.60
2.10
Total goals
2.50
70%7/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
70%7/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Lugo attack

1.20goals per match
Cartagena conceded1.60
Matchup

Cartagena attack

0.90goals per match
Lugo conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.50
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.80
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.40
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.80
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.10N=10
Corners for
3.40N=10
6.40
Corners against
4.80
11.50
Match total
8.20
80%8/10
Over 8.5
30%3/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.30N=10
For
2.90N=10
4.20
Match total
4.70
50%5/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

13.10N=10
Committed
13.40N=10
25.50
Match total
27.10

Shots

11.30N=10
Shots
9.80N=10
3.80
On target
2.80
11%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches470
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home39.0%37.7%-1.4 pp
Draw30.1%34.3%+4.1 pp
Away30.8%28.1%-2.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.568.3%
Over 2.538.1%
Over 3.522.8%
BTTS49.6%

Historical average

1.211.10

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-117.2%
0-011.7%
1-010.9%
0-19.1%
2-19.1%

Comparable corner averages

5.224.57
Average total9.79

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=470.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.3%
Over 9.552.1%
Over 10.539.1%
Over 11.527.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches179
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT24.0%18.4%–30.8% CI
Draw FT49.7%42.5%–57.0% CI
Away FT26.3%20.4%–33.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.36

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal69.3%
2+ goals43.6%
3+ goals15.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home48.6%
Away50.3%