Segunda Division · 2021/22
2022-04-02 · 15:00
11.3569.5%
X4.7119.9%
28.8210.6%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Valladolid
WWWWWWWDWL
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM
Lugo
WDDDDDLDDL
1W 7D 2L · 1.00 PPM
Goals
2.00
Scored
1.30
0.60
Conceded
1.30
50%
Over 2.5
30%
40%
BTTS
80%
By half
1.20
1H goals
1.20
1.40
2H goals
1.40
70%
Goal in 2H
100%
Corners
7.20N=10
For
2.90N=10
2.80
Against
6.10
10.00
Total
9.00
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
1.30
0.60
Goals conceded
1.30
2.60
Total goals
2.60
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Valladolid attack
2.00goals per matchLugo conceded1.30Matchup
Lugo attack
1.30goals per matchValladolid conceded0.60Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.70
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.00
2H goals scored
0.60
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
7.20N=10
Corners for
2.90N=10
2.80
Corners against
6.10
10.00
Match total
9.00
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.00N=10
For
2.70N=10
3.90
Match total
5.10
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.10N=10
Committed
15.00N=10
25.70
Match total
27.40
Shots
18.20N=10
Shots
10.00N=10
6.70
On target
2.90
11%
Conversion
13%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches20
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home69.5%75.0%+5.5 pp
Draw19.9%20.0%+0.1 pp
Away10.6%5.0%-5.6 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.580.0%
Over 2.560.0%
Over 3.530.0%
BTTS45.0%
Historical average
2.20–0.70
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-020.0%
2-115.0%
0-010.0%
1-010.0%
3-010.0%
Comparable corner averages
7.30–3.60
Average total10.90
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=20.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.580.0%
Over 9.570.0%
Over 10.560.0%
Over 11.525.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches15
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT73.3%48.0%–89.1% CI
Draw FT13.3%3.7%–37.9% CI
Away FT13.3%3.7%–37.9% CI
Remaining goals
1.93
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal86.7%
2+ goals46.7%
3+ goals40.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home80.0%
Away33.3%