Segunda Division · 2021/22
2022-03-19 · 17:15
12.7733.8%
X2.9331.9%
22.7334.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Lugo
WDLDDWWWDW
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM
Oviedo
WLDDLDLDWL
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
0.70
0.80
Conceded
1.20
40%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.00
1H goals
0.90
1.10
2H goals
1.00
80%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

4.90N=10
For
3.40N=10
6.10
Against
5.20
11.00
Total
8.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
0.70
0.80
Goals conceded
1.20
2.10
Total goals
1.90
70%7/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Lugo attack

1.30goals per match
Oviedo conceded1.20
Matchup

Oviedo attack

0.70goals per match
Lugo conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.30
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.60
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.40
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.90N=10
Corners for
3.40N=10
6.10
Corners against
5.20
11.00
Match total
8.60
80%8/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.70N=10
For
2.00N=10
5.00
Match total
4.20
60%6/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

14.70N=10
Committed
14.90N=10
26.80
Match total
26.90

Shots

10.20N=10
Shots
8.20N=10
3.60
On target
2.40
13%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches234
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home33.8%31.6%-2.2 pp
Draw31.9%38.0%+6.1 pp
Away34.3%30.3%-3.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.563.7%
Over 2.534.6%
Over 3.512.8%
BTTS46.2%

Historical average

1.011.00

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-117.5%
0-015.0%
1-011.5%
0-19.8%
1-29.0%

Comparable corner averages

4.354.61
Average total8.95

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=234.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.553.8%
Over 9.545.3%
Over 10.531.2%
Over 11.520.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches96
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT28.1%20.1%–37.8% CI
Draw FT47.9%38.2%–57.8% CI
Away FT24.0%16.5%–33.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.04

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal63.5%
2+ goals29.2%
3+ goals8.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home44.8%
Away37.5%