Segunda Division · 2021/22
2022-03-12 · 17:15
11.4266.0%
X4.3021.8%
27.7212.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Almeria
WWWDWLLWWW
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM
Lugo
LLWDDDDDLD
1W 6D 3L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
1.20
0.60
Conceded
1.30
40%
Over 2.5
30%
30%
BTTS
80%

By half

0.70
1H goals
1.20
1.50
2H goals
1.30
70%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.60N=10
For
3.20N=10
4.50
Against
5.70
10.10
Total
8.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.20
0.60
Goals conceded
1.30
2.20
Total goals
2.50
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Almeria attack

1.60goals per match
Lugo conceded1.30
Matchup

Lugo attack

1.20goals per match
Almeria conceded0.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.70
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.50
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
1.30
2H goals scored
0.50
0.20
2H goals conceded
0.80
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.60N=10
Corners for
3.20N=10
4.50
Corners against
5.70
10.10
Match total
8.90
70%7/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
2.80N=10
5.40
Match total
5.10
80%8/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

12.20N=10
Committed
16.00N=10
25.50
Match total
29.20

Shots

16.60N=10
Shots
10.90N=10
5.80
On target
2.80
10%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches36
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home66.0%80.6%+14.5 pp
Draw21.8%13.9%-7.9 pp
Away12.1%5.6%-6.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.575.0%
Over 2.552.8%
Over 3.525.0%
BTTS38.9%

Historical average

2.030.53

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-019.4%
1-016.7%
2-113.9%
3-011.1%
3-18.3%

Comparable corner averages

6.783.58
Average total10.36

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=36.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.7%
Over 9.561.1%
Over 10.555.6%
Over 11.541.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT69.2%42.4%–87.3% CI
Draw FT15.4%4.3%–42.2% CI
Away FT15.4%4.3%–42.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.38

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal84.6%
2+ goals30.8%
3+ goals23.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home76.9%
Away30.8%