Segunda Division · 2020/21
2021-05-30 · 20:00
11.5659.8%
X4.0722.9%
25.4217.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Vallecano
LLDWLWLDDW
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Lugo
DLLLDLLLLD
0W 3D 7L · 0.30 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
0.80
1.40
Conceded
2.40
50%
Over 2.5
40%
70%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.60
1H goals
1.70
1.20
2H goals
1.50
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.40N=10
For
4.30N=10
3.40
Against
4.40
8.80
Total
8.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
0.80
1.40
Goals conceded
2.40
2.80
Total goals
3.20
70%7/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Vallecano attack

1.40goals per match
Lugo conceded2.40
Matchup

Lugo attack

0.80goals per match
Vallecano conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.60
0.90
1H goals conceded
1.10
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.20
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.30
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.40N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
3.40
Corners against
4.40
8.80
Match total
8.70
60%6/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.70N=10
For
2.20N=10
5.70
Match total
4.30
70%7/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

15.10N=10
Committed
14.10N=10
31.10
Match total
28.10

Shots

11.40N=10
Shots
9.70N=10
3.90
On target
3.30
12%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches112
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home59.8%56.3%-3.6 pp
Draw22.9%29.5%+6.5 pp
Away17.2%14.3%-2.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.577.7%
Over 2.546.4%
Over 3.527.7%
BTTS53.6%

Historical average

1.750.86

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-116.1%
2-112.5%
2-011.6%
1-09.8%
3-18.9%

Comparable corner averages

6.634.03
Average total10.65

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=112.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.572.3%
Over 9.560.7%
Over 10.550.0%
Over 11.542.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches30
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT46.7%30.2%–63.9% CI
Draw FT36.7%21.9%–54.5% CI
Away FT16.7%7.3%–33.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.40

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal80.0%
2+ goals46.7%
3+ goals13.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home63.3%
Away43.3%