Segunda Division · 2020/21
2021-05-24 · 20:00
11.6158.1%
X3.6925.4%
25.6716.5%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Lugo
WDDDDLLLDW
2W 5D 3L · 1.10 PPM
Cartagena
LDLLLDDWLW
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Goals
0.90
Scored
0.60
1.00
Conceded
1.20
30%
Over 2.5
30%
50%
BTTS
30%
By half
0.60
1H goals
0.80
1.30
2H goals
1.00
70%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
3.20N=10
For
4.40N=10
5.50
Against
3.70
8.70
Total
8.10
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
0.60
1.00
Goals conceded
1.20
1.90
Total goals
1.80
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Lugo attack
0.90goals per matchCartagena conceded1.20Matchup
Cartagena attack
0.60goals per matchLugo conceded1.00Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.10
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.60
2H goals scored
0.50
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
3.20N=10
Corners for
4.40N=10
5.50
Corners against
3.70
8.70
Match total
8.10
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.50N=10
For
2.60N=10
5.20
Match total
4.80
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.40N=10
Committed
13.50N=10
26.40
Match total
30.00
Shots
8.90N=10
Shots
8.90N=10
2.70
On target
2.10
10%
Conversion
7%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches62
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home58.1%48.4%-9.7 pp
Draw25.4%33.9%+8.5 pp
Away16.5%17.7%+1.2 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.571.0%
Over 2.551.6%
Over 3.521.0%
BTTS56.5%
Historical average
1.50–0.90
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-117.7%
0-012.9%
1-111.3%
2-29.7%
1-09.7%
Comparable corner averages
5.48–3.56
Average total9.05
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=62.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.550.0%
Over 9.546.8%
Over 10.540.3%
Over 11.527.4%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches22
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT36.4%19.7%–57.0% CI
Draw FT50.0%30.7%–69.3% CI
Away FT13.6%4.7%–33.3% CI
Remaining goals
1.27
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal63.6%
2+ goals40.9%
3+ goals22.7%
Who scores in 2H
Home54.5%
Away36.4%