Segunda Division · 2020/21
2021-05-24 · 20:00
11.5361.4%
X3.7325.2%
27.0013.4%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Leganes
WWWWDLWDDW
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
Malaga
DWLLWDWDLL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Goals
1.50
Scored
0.60
0.80
Conceded
0.90
50%
Over 2.5
10%
50%
BTTS
30%
By half
1.00
1H goals
0.40
1.30
2H goals
1.10
80%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
4.40N=10
For
4.50N=10
4.40
Against
4.50
8.80
Total
9.00
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
0.60
0.80
Goals conceded
0.90
2.30
Total goals
1.50
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Leganes attack
1.50goals per matchMalaga conceded0.90Matchup
Malaga attack
0.60goals per matchLeganes conceded0.80Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.10
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.30
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
0.50
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.40N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
4.40
Corners against
4.50
8.80
Match total
9.00
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.70N=10
For
2.10N=10
3.90
Match total
5.00
Over 3.5
Fouls
16.30N=10
Committed
12.50N=10
31.30
Match total
27.50
Shots
10.40N=10
Shots
9.10N=10
4.00
On target
2.70
14%
Conversion
7%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches26
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home61.4%57.7%-3.7 pp
Draw25.2%34.6%+9.4 pp
Away13.4%7.7%-5.7 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.584.6%
Over 2.538.5%
Over 3.526.9%
BTTS50.0%
Historical average
1.81–0.73
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-026.9%
1-119.2%
2-211.5%
1-011.5%
2-33.8%
Comparable corner averages
5.00–3.77
Average total8.77
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=26.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.557.7%
Over 9.542.3%
Over 10.526.9%
Over 11.519.2%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT60.0%31.3%–83.2% CI
Draw FT40.0%16.8%–68.7% CI
Away FT0.0%0.0%–27.8% CI
Remaining goals
1.40
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal80.0%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals10.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home80.0%
Away30.0%