Segunda Division · 2020/21
2021-05-24 · 20:00
13.8524.4%
X3.0530.8%
22.0944.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Castellon
WLLWWLWWDL
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM
Vallecano
WWDLDWWDLW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
1.40
0.90
Conceded
1.00
40%
Over 2.5
40%
30%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.30
1.00
2H goals
1.10
70%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

3.60N=10
For
4.80N=10
5.00
Against
3.80
8.60
Total
8.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.40
0.90
Goals conceded
1.00
2.10
Total goals
2.40
60%6/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
30%3/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Castellon attack

1.20goals per match
Vallecano conceded1.00
Matchup

Vallecano attack

1.40goals per match
Castellon conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.80
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.60
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.60N=10
Corners for
4.80N=10
5.00
Corners against
3.80
8.60
Match total
8.60
50%5/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.40N=10
For
2.80N=10
4.90
Match total
5.70
60%6/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

13.60N=10
Committed
15.00N=10
26.70
Match total
33.60

Shots

9.30N=10
Shots
13.20N=10
2.90
On target
4.40
13%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches33
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home24.4%21.2%-3.2 pp
Draw30.8%39.4%+8.6 pp
Away44.9%39.4%-5.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.566.7%
Over 2.548.5%
Over 3.530.3%
BTTS45.5%

Historical average

0.971.42

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-015.2%
2-212.1%
1-112.1%
0-39.1%
1-09.1%

Comparable corner averages

4.125.70
Average total9.82

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=33.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.551.5%
Over 9.542.4%
Over 10.539.4%
Over 11.533.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT0.0%0.0%–22.8% CI
Draw FT69.2%42.4%–87.3% CI
Away FT30.8%12.7%–57.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.69

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal61.5%
2+ goals53.8%
3+ goals30.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home38.5%
Away61.5%