Segunda Division · 2020/21
2021-05-20 · 20:30
11.6855.7%
X3.4027.5%
25.5516.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Vallecano
WLLDWLWLDD
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Oviedo
DDLDDDDLWD
1W 7D 2L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
0.80
1.40
Conceded
1.00
50%
Over 2.5
20%
70%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.30
1H goals
0.80
1.30
2H goals
1.00
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.30N=10
For
3.10N=10
3.50
Against
5.10
8.80
Total
8.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
0.80
1.40
Goals conceded
1.00
2.60
Total goals
1.80
70%7/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
20%2/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
70%7/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Vallecano attack

1.20goals per match
Oviedo conceded1.00
Matchup

Oviedo attack

0.80goals per match
Vallecano conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.20
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.60
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
3.10N=10
3.50
Corners against
5.10
8.80
Match total
8.20
60%6/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.70N=10
For
3.10N=10
5.80
Match total
5.60
80%8/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

15.20N=10
Committed
14.80N=10
31.90
Match total
28.70

Shots

11.20N=10
Shots
9.70N=10
3.90
On target
2.80
11%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches41
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home55.7%46.3%-9.3 pp
Draw27.5%24.4%-3.1 pp
Away16.8%29.3%+12.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.575.6%
Over 2.543.9%
Over 3.512.2%
BTTS48.8%

Historical average

1.291.02

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-117.1%
1-114.6%
2-012.2%
0-19.8%
1-27.3%

Comparable corner averages

4.953.24
Average total8.20

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=41.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.546.3%
Over 9.524.4%
Over 10.519.5%
Over 11.512.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches14
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT28.6%11.7%–54.6% CI
Draw FT28.6%11.7%–54.6% CI
Away FT42.9%21.4%–67.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.36

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal78.6%
2+ goals42.9%
3+ goals14.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home42.9%
Away50.0%