Segunda Division · 2020/21
2021-05-17 · 18:00
12.2042.5%
X2.6535.3%
24.2122.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Oviedo
WDLWWLDDLW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Malaga
LDWLLWDWDL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
0.70
1.20
Conceded
1.10
50%
Over 2.5
20%
60%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.40
1H goals
0.60
1.20
2H goals
1.20
70%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.50N=10
For
4.90N=10
3.80
Against
4.50
8.30
Total
9.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
0.70
1.20
Goals conceded
1.10
2.60
Total goals
1.80
60%6/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
60%6/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Oviedo attack

1.40goals per match
Malaga conceded1.10
Matchup

Malaga attack

0.70goals per match
Oviedo conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.20
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.40
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
40%4/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.50
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.50N=10
Corners for
4.90N=10
3.80
Corners against
4.50
8.30
Match total
9.40
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.40N=10
For
1.90N=10
4.20
Match total
5.00
60%6/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

12.90N=10
Committed
12.50N=10
26.70
Match total
27.60

Shots

9.40N=10
Shots
9.50N=10
3.40
On target
3.10
15%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches23
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home42.5%30.4%-12.1 pp
Draw35.3%47.8%+12.5 pp
Away22.2%21.7%-0.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.569.6%
Over 2.526.1%
Over 3.513.0%
BTTS52.2%

Historical average

1.041.00

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-130.4%
0-013.0%
1-013.0%
0-213.0%
2-18.7%

Comparable corner averages

4.393.22
Average total7.61

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=23.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.530.4%
Over 9.526.1%
Over 10.517.4%
Over 11.58.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches18
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT27.8%12.5%–50.9% CI
Draw FT44.4%24.6%–66.3% CI
Away FT27.8%12.5%–50.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.39

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal77.8%
2+ goals44.4%
3+ goals11.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.0%
Away55.6%