Segunda Division · 2020/21
2021-05-15 · 15:00
12.1743.2%
X3.0930.3%
23.5426.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Castellon
LWLLWWLWWD
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM
Ponferradina
LWLLDDDLDL
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
0.80
0.80
Conceded
1.40
40%
Over 2.5
20%
30%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.10
1.00
2H goals
1.10
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

3.40N=10
For
3.80N=10
4.70
Against
3.50
8.10
Total
7.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
0.80
0.80
Goals conceded
1.40
2.00
Total goals
2.20
50%5/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
20%2/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
30%3/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Castellon attack

1.20goals per match
Ponferradina conceded1.40
Matchup

Ponferradina attack

0.80goals per match
Castellon conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.20
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.90
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.60
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.40N=10
Corners for
3.80N=10
4.70
Corners against
3.50
8.10
Match total
7.30
40%4/10
Over 8.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
20%2/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.30N=10
For
1.30N=10
5.30
Match total
3.70
70%7/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

13.90N=10
Committed
13.30N=10
28.30
Match total
28.50

Shots

7.70N=10
Shots
8.10N=10
2.60
On target
3.60
16%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches215
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home43.2%39.1%-4.1 pp
Draw30.3%33.0%+2.7 pp
Away26.5%27.9%+1.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.568.8%
Over 2.538.6%
Over 3.516.3%
BTTS47.0%

Historical average

1.240.96

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-116.7%
1-010.7%
0-010.7%
0-19.8%
2-08.8%

Comparable corner averages

5.124.11
Average total9.22

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=215.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.550.7%
Over 9.542.8%
Over 10.531.2%
Over 11.523.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches91
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT33.0%24.2%–43.1% CI
Draw FT46.2%36.3%–56.3% CI
Away FT20.9%13.8%–30.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.35

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal74.7%
2+ goals40.7%
3+ goals15.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home56.0%
Away47.3%