Segunda Division · 2020/21
2021-05-10 · 20:00
11.8151.7%
X3.1130.1%
25.1418.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sp Gijon
WDWDWDWDLL
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Lugo
DLDLLLDLLL
0W 3D 7L · 0.30 PPM

Goals

0.90
Scored
0.70
0.60
Conceded
2.30
20%
Over 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.50
1H goals
1.50
1.00
2H goals
1.50
60%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

3.60N=10
For
4.50N=10
4.60
Against
5.60
8.20
Total
10.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
0.70
0.60
Goals conceded
2.30
1.50
Total goals
3.00
50%5/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
20%2/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
0%0/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Sp Gijon attack

0.90goals per match
Lugo conceded2.30
Matchup

Lugo attack

0.70goals per match
Sp Gijon conceded0.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.50
0.20
1H goals conceded
1.00
40%4/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.20
0.40
2H goals conceded
1.30
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.60N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
4.60
Corners against
5.60
8.20
Match total
10.10
50%5/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
2.50N=10
4.30
Match total
4.40
70%7/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

12.60N=10
Committed
12.90N=10
24.50
Match total
27.20

Shots

9.00N=10
Shots
9.60N=10
3.20
On target
3.30
10%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches15
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home51.7%46.7%-5.0 pp
Draw30.1%26.7%-3.4 pp
Away18.2%26.7%+8.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.586.7%
Over 2.540.0%
Over 3.520.0%
BTTS53.3%

Historical average

1.531.07

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-126.7%
0-213.3%
3-013.3%
1-36.7%
2-16.7%

Comparable corner averages

3.734.00
Average total7.73

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=15.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.540.0%
Over 9.526.7%
Over 10.526.7%
Over 11.520.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches16
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT43.8%23.1%–66.8% CI
Draw FT37.5%18.5%–61.4% CI
Away FT18.8%6.6%–43.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.06

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal62.5%
2+ goals31.3%
3+ goals12.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home43.8%
Away31.3%