Segunda Division · 2020/21
2021-05-02 · 17:15
12.4937.5%
X2.7034.6%
23.3427.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Castellon
WLWLLWWLWW
6W 0D 4L · 1.80 PPM
Logrones
LDLDLDDLDW
1W 5D 4L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
0.50
0.80
Conceded
1.30
50%
Over 2.5
20%
30%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.10
1H goals
0.60
1.20
2H goals
1.20
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.10N=10
For
3.80N=10
4.40
Against
4.50
8.50
Total
8.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
0.50
0.80
Goals conceded
1.30
2.30
Total goals
1.80
60%6/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
20%2/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
30%3/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Castellon attack

1.50goals per match
Logrones conceded1.30
Matchup

Logrones attack

0.50goals per match
Castellon conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.10
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
40%4/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.40
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.10N=10
Corners for
3.80N=10
4.40
Corners against
4.50
8.50
Match total
8.30
50%5/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
10%1/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.50N=10
For
2.40N=10
5.90
Match total
4.70
80%8/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

13.70N=10
Committed
14.60N=10
28.20
Match total
29.00

Shots

8.20N=10
Shots
8.20N=10
2.90
On target
2.40
18%
Conversion
6%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches22
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home37.5%40.9%+3.4 pp
Draw34.6%31.8%-2.8 pp
Away27.9%27.3%-0.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.545.5%
Over 2.518.2%
Over 3.518.2%
BTTS27.3%

Historical average

1.000.82

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-027.3%
0-113.6%
0-013.6%
1-113.6%
0-29.1%

Comparable corner averages

4.095.32
Average total9.41

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=22.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.550.0%
Over 9.540.9%
Over 10.536.4%
Over 11.531.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT54.5%28.0%–78.7% CI
Draw FT27.3%9.7%–56.6% CI
Away FT18.2%5.1%–47.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.00

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.7%
2+ goals9.1%
3+ goals9.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home54.5%
Away18.2%