Segunda Division · 2020/21
2021-05-02 · 17:15
12.4937.5%
X2.7034.6%
23.3427.9%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Castellon
WLWLLWWLWW
6W 0D 4L · 1.80 PPM
Logrones
LDLDLDDLDW
1W 5D 4L · 0.80 PPM
Goals
1.50
Scored
0.50
0.80
Conceded
1.30
50%
Over 2.5
20%
30%
BTTS
30%
By half
1.10
1H goals
0.60
1.20
2H goals
1.20
80%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
4.10N=10
For
3.80N=10
4.40
Against
4.50
8.50
Total
8.30
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
0.50
0.80
Goals conceded
1.30
2.30
Total goals
1.80
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Castellon attack
1.50goals per matchLogrones conceded1.30Matchup
Logrones attack
0.50goals per matchCastellon conceded0.80Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.10
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.80
2H goals scored
0.40
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.10N=10
Corners for
3.80N=10
4.40
Corners against
4.50
8.50
Match total
8.30
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.50N=10
For
2.40N=10
5.90
Match total
4.70
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.70N=10
Committed
14.60N=10
28.20
Match total
29.00
Shots
8.20N=10
Shots
8.20N=10
2.90
On target
2.40
18%
Conversion
6%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches22
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home37.5%40.9%+3.4 pp
Draw34.6%31.8%-2.8 pp
Away27.9%27.3%-0.7 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.545.5%
Over 2.518.2%
Over 3.518.2%
BTTS27.3%
Historical average
1.00–0.82
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-027.3%
0-113.6%
0-013.6%
1-113.6%
0-29.1%
Comparable corner averages
4.09–5.32
Average total9.41
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=22.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.550.0%
Over 9.540.9%
Over 10.536.4%
Over 11.531.8%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT54.5%28.0%–78.7% CI
Draw FT27.3%9.7%–56.6% CI
Away FT18.2%5.1%–47.7% CI
Remaining goals
1.00
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal72.7%
2+ goals9.1%
3+ goals9.1%
Who scores in 2H
Home54.5%
Away18.2%