Segunda Division · 2020/21
2021-04-30 · 20:00
12.9931.4%
X2.7334.4%
22.7434.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Lugo
WDWDDDDLLL
2W 5D 3L · 1.10 PPM
Zaragoza
LDLWDLLDWL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

0.60
Scored
0.80
0.70
Conceded
1.30
10%
Over 2.5
30%
30%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.40
1H goals
0.90
0.90
2H goals
1.20
60%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

3.30N=10
For
3.90N=10
5.10
Against
5.60
8.40
Total
9.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.60
Goals scored
0.80
0.70
Goals conceded
1.30
1.30
Total goals
2.10
40%4/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
10%1/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
30%3/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Lugo attack

0.60goals per match
Zaragoza conceded1.30
Matchup

Zaragoza attack

0.80goals per match
Lugo conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.50
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.40
40%4/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.40
2H goals scored
0.30
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.90
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.30N=10
Corners for
3.90N=10
5.10
Corners against
5.60
8.40
Match total
9.50
40%4/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
2.00N=10
4.60
Match total
4.10
70%7/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

12.00N=10
Committed
13.30N=10
24.90
Match total
28.30

Shots

9.70N=10
Shots
9.70N=10
2.50
On target
2.60
6%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches44
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home31.4%25.0%-6.4 pp
Draw34.4%34.1%-0.3 pp
Away34.2%40.9%+6.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.563.6%
Over 2.529.5%
Over 3.513.6%
BTTS34.1%

Historical average

0.821.09

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-018.2%
0-215.9%
1-29.1%
1-19.1%
2-09.1%

Comparable corner averages

3.684.91
Average total8.59

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=44.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.550.0%
Over 9.538.6%
Over 10.522.7%
Over 11.515.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches17
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT5.9%1.0%–27.0% CI
Draw FT47.1%26.2%–69.0% CI
Away FT47.1%26.2%–69.0% CI

Remaining goals

0.88

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal52.9%
2+ goals29.4%
3+ goals5.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home11.8%
Away47.1%