Segunda Division · 2020/21
2021-04-26 · 18:00
11.5958.8%
X3.5926.0%
26.1415.2%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Vallecano
WWWLLDWLWL
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM
Albacete
DLWWWLDLLL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Goals
1.30
Scored
0.70
1.20
Conceded
1.30
50%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
30%
By half
1.40
1H goals
0.80
1.10
2H goals
1.20
70%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
5.10N=10
For
3.50N=10
3.10
Against
4.80
8.20
Total
8.30
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
0.70
1.20
Goals conceded
1.30
2.50
Total goals
2.00
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Vallecano attack
1.30goals per matchAlbacete conceded1.30Matchup
Albacete attack
0.70goals per matchVallecano conceded1.20Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.30
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
0.40
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.10N=10
Corners for
3.50N=10
3.10
Corners against
4.80
8.20
Match total
8.30
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.90N=10
For
2.90N=10
5.30
Match total
4.80
Over 3.5
Fouls
15.20N=10
Committed
13.80N=10
31.50
Match total
28.60
Shots
12.30N=10
Shots
7.70N=10
4.10
On target
2.20
11%
Conversion
9%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches37
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home58.8%45.9%-12.8 pp
Draw26.0%32.4%+6.4 pp
Away15.2%21.6%+6.4 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.570.3%
Over 2.545.9%
Over 3.521.6%
BTTS51.4%
Historical average
1.46–0.92
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-116.2%
0-110.8%
1-010.8%
3-010.8%
2-110.8%
Comparable corner averages
5.51–3.27
Average total8.78
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=37.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.551.4%
Over 9.551.4%
Over 10.537.8%
Over 11.521.6%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT36.4%15.2%–64.6% CI
Draw FT45.5%21.3%–72.0% CI
Away FT18.2%5.1%–47.7% CI
Remaining goals
1.18
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal72.7%
2+ goals36.4%
3+ goals9.1%
Who scores in 2H
Home54.5%
Away36.4%