Segunda Division · 2020/21
2021-04-24 · 19:30
11.9747.5%
X3.1629.6%
24.0723.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Ponferradina
WDWDWWDWDD
5W 5D 0L · 2.00 PPM
Lugo
DDLDLLLDLL
0W 4D 6L · 0.40 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
0.90
0.80
Conceded
2.30
40%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.60
1.20
2H goals
1.60
70%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.30N=10
For
4.20N=10
3.90
Against
5.60
8.20
Total
9.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
0.90
0.80
Goals conceded
2.30
2.20
Total goals
3.20
60%6/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Ponferradina attack

1.40goals per match
Lugo conceded2.30
Matchup

Lugo attack

0.90goals per match
Ponferradina conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.70
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.90
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.20
0.20
2H goals conceded
1.40
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.30N=10
Corners for
4.20N=10
3.90
Corners against
5.60
8.20
Match total
9.80
30%3/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.20N=10
For
2.40N=10
3.90
Match total
4.40
50%5/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

13.50N=10
Committed
12.60N=10
28.00
Match total
27.00

Shots

10.60N=10
Shots
9.80N=10
3.90
On target
3.60
13%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches107
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home47.5%52.3%+4.9 pp
Draw29.6%29.0%-0.6 pp
Away23.0%18.7%-4.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.563.6%
Over 2.542.1%
Over 3.525.2%
BTTS43.0%

Historical average

1.550.82

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-016.8%
0-013.1%
1-110.3%
2-07.5%
2-17.5%

Comparable corner averages

5.403.98
Average total9.38

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=107.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.7%
Over 9.546.7%
Over 10.535.5%
Over 11.526.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches42
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT50.0%35.5%–64.5% CI
Draw FT35.7%23.0%–50.8% CI
Away FT14.3%6.7%–27.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.19

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal66.7%
2+ goals26.2%
3+ goals16.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home54.8%
Away31.0%