Segunda Division · 2020/21
2021-04-23 · 20:00
12.9831.5%
X2.6635.3%
22.8233.3%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Zaragoza
LWWWWLWWDW
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM
Sp Gijon
LLDLWWDDWL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Goals
1.00
Scored
1.10
0.40
Conceded
1.10
20%
Over 2.5
30%
20%
BTTS
30%
By half
0.70
1H goals
0.90
0.70
2H goals
1.30
60%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
3.70N=10
For
3.90N=10
4.50
Against
3.90
8.20
Total
7.80
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
1.10
0.40
Goals conceded
1.10
1.40
Total goals
2.20
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Zaragoza attack
1.00goals per matchSp Gijon conceded1.10Matchup
Sp Gijon attack
1.10goals per matchZaragoza conceded0.40Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.70
0.10
1H goals conceded
0.20
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.40
2H goals scored
0.40
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
3.70N=10
Corners for
3.90N=10
4.50
Corners against
3.90
8.20
Match total
7.80
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.50N=10
For
1.90N=10
4.20
Match total
3.80
Over 3.5
Fouls
14.00N=10
Committed
13.20N=10
28.90
Match total
24.80
Shots
11.70N=10
Shots
9.90N=10
3.80
On target
3.90
9%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches25
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home31.5%28.0%-3.5 pp
Draw35.3%28.0%-7.3 pp
Away33.3%44.0%+10.7 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.568.0%
Over 2.536.0%
Over 3.516.0%
BTTS44.0%
Historical average
0.96–1.16
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-116.0%
0-116.0%
2-012.0%
0-012.0%
1-38.0%
Comparable corner averages
4.00–4.88
Average total8.88
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=25.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.564.0%
Over 9.544.0%
Over 10.524.0%
Over 11.58.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches21
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT23.8%10.6%–45.1% CI
Draw FT38.1%20.8%–59.1% CI
Away FT38.1%20.8%–59.1% CI
Remaining goals
1.05
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal71.4%
2+ goals28.6%
3+ goals4.8%
Who scores in 2H
Home38.1%
Away47.6%