Segunda Division · 2020/21
2021-04-19 · 18:00
11.7354.0%
X3.2328.9%
25.4817.1%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Leganes
WWLWWWWDLW
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM
Ponferradina
WLLWLLDDDL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Goals
1.40
Scored
0.90
0.80
Conceded
1.30
40%
Over 2.5
30%
40%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.00
1H goals
1.00
1.20
2H goals
1.20
80%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
3.70N=10
For
3.60N=10
4.40
Against
3.70
8.10
Total
7.30
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
0.90
0.80
Goals conceded
1.30
2.20
Total goals
2.20
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Leganes attack
1.40goals per matchPonferradina conceded1.30Matchup
Ponferradina attack
0.90goals per matchLeganes conceded0.80Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.30
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.60
2H goals scored
0.60
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
3.70N=10
Corners for
3.60N=10
4.40
Corners against
3.70
8.10
Match total
7.30
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.10N=10
For
1.40N=10
3.40
Match total
3.70
Over 3.5
Fouls
16.40N=10
Committed
12.70N=10
31.30
Match total
27.50
Shots
10.00N=10
Shots
8.20N=10
3.50
On target
3.70
14%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches62
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home54.0%41.9%-12.1 pp
Draw28.9%32.3%+3.3 pp
Away17.1%25.8%+8.8 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.556.5%
Over 2.529.0%
Over 3.512.9%
BTTS43.5%
Historical average
1.11–0.81
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-117.7%
1-016.1%
0-114.5%
0-012.9%
2-19.7%
Comparable corner averages
5.10–3.39
Average total8.48
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=62.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.553.2%
Over 9.530.6%
Over 10.522.6%
Over 11.519.4%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches29
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT20.7%9.8%–38.4% CI
Draw FT37.9%22.7%–56.0% CI
Away FT41.4%25.5%–59.3% CI
Remaining goals
0.97
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal72.4%
2+ goals20.7%
3+ goals3.4%
Who scores in 2H
Home34.5%
Away51.7%