Segunda Division · 2020/21
2021-04-17 · 15:00
14.3721.4%
X3.0330.9%
21.9647.7%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Castellon
WWLWLLWWLW
6W 0D 4L · 1.80 PPM
Mallorca
WWWDWWWLLD
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Goals
1.50
Scored
1.30
0.80
Conceded
1.10
50%
Over 2.5
40%
30%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.00
1H goals
1.30
1.30
2H goals
1.10
90%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
4.80N=10
For
5.20N=10
4.30
Against
4.40
9.10
Total
9.60
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.30
0.80
Goals conceded
1.10
2.30
Total goals
2.40
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Castellon attack
1.50goals per matchMallorca conceded1.10Matchup
Mallorca attack
1.30goals per matchCastellon conceded0.80Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.70
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.90
2H goals scored
0.60
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.80N=10
Corners for
5.20N=10
4.30
Corners against
4.40
9.10
Match total
9.60
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.20N=10
For
2.00N=10
5.40
Match total
4.30
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.90N=10
Committed
15.00N=10
26.10
Match total
29.50
Shots
8.20N=10
Shots
10.30N=10
2.70
On target
3.30
18%
Conversion
13%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches12
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home21.4%8.3%-13.1 pp
Draw30.9%50.0%+19.1 pp
Away47.7%41.7%-6.1 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.575.0%
Over 2.541.7%
Over 3.516.7%
BTTS50.0%
Historical average
0.75–1.58
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-133.3%
0-325.0%
2-216.7%
0-116.7%
1-08.3%
Comparable corner averages
4.17–3.67
Average total7.83
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=12.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.533.3%
Over 9.525.0%
Over 10.58.3%
Over 11.50.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches26
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT26.9%13.7%–46.1% CI
Draw FT26.9%13.7%–46.1% CI
Away FT46.2%28.8%–64.5% CI
Remaining goals
1.38
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal84.6%
2+ goals34.6%
3+ goals15.4%
Who scores in 2H
Home46.2%
Away61.5%