Segunda Division · 2020/21
2021-04-14 · 18:00
11.6855.7%
X3.4327.3%
25.5017.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Vallecano
DWWWLLDWLW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Mirandes
WLWLWWLLLW
5W 0D 5L · 1.50 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
0.90
1.10
Conceded
1.00
50%
Over 2.5
30%
60%
BTTS
20%

By half

1.40
1H goals
0.70
1.00
2H goals
1.20
60%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.40N=10
For
4.30N=10
3.50
Against
5.50
8.90
Total
9.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
0.90
1.10
Goals conceded
1.00
2.40
Total goals
1.90
70%7/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
60%6/10
BTTS
20%2/10
Matchup

Vallecano attack

1.30goals per match
Mirandes conceded1.00
Matchup

Mirandes attack

0.90goals per match
Vallecano conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.40
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.30
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.50
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.70
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.40N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
3.50
Corners against
5.50
8.90
Match total
9.80
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.80N=10
For
2.40N=10
5.50
Match total
4.00
80%8/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

15.60N=10
Committed
15.70N=10
32.70
Match total
29.20

Shots

12.50N=10
Shots
10.50N=10
4.20
On target
3.60
10%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches71
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home55.7%46.5%-9.2 pp
Draw27.3%28.2%+0.9 pp
Away17.0%25.4%+8.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.574.6%
Over 2.545.1%
Over 3.515.5%
BTTS52.1%

Historical average

1.420.93

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-118.3%
2-115.5%
2-09.9%
1-08.5%
0-18.5%

Comparable corner averages

5.063.39
Average total8.45

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=71.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.550.7%
Over 9.532.4%
Over 10.525.4%
Over 11.519.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches23
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT30.4%15.6%–50.9% CI
Draw FT39.1%22.2%–59.2% CI
Away FT30.4%15.6%–50.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.22

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal73.9%
2+ goals39.1%
3+ goals8.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home47.8%
Away43.5%