Segunda Division · 2020/21
2021-04-12 · 20:00
12.0944.6%
X2.9331.8%
23.9623.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Alcorcon
WWLWLLWWLD
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM
Castellon
LDLDLLLDDW
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
0.70
0.90
Conceded
1.40
40%
Over 2.5
40%
30%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.80
1H goals
1.10
1.20
2H goals
1.00
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

3.70N=10
For
4.30N=10
5.10
Against
4.70
8.80
Total
9.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
0.70
0.90
Goals conceded
1.40
2.00
Total goals
2.10
50%5/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
30%3/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Alcorcon attack

1.10goals per match
Castellon conceded1.40
Matchup

Castellon attack

0.70goals per match
Alcorcon conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.10
0.30
1H goals conceded
1.00
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.60
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.40
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.70N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
5.10
Corners against
4.70
8.80
Match total
9.00
50%5/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
1.90N=10
4.60
Match total
3.50
80%8/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

15.40N=10
Committed
15.40N=10
28.90
Match total
29.30

Shots

10.20N=10
Shots
7.40N=10
3.20
On target
2.60
11%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches59
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home44.6%40.7%-3.9 pp
Draw31.8%33.9%+2.1 pp
Away23.6%25.4%+1.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.566.1%
Over 2.533.9%
Over 3.515.3%
BTTS49.2%

Historical average

1.220.88

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-118.6%
0-111.9%
1-011.9%
0-010.2%
2-010.2%

Comparable corner averages

5.144.07
Average total9.20

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=59.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.550.8%
Over 9.542.4%
Over 10.530.5%
Over 11.522.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches23
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT30.4%15.6%–50.9% CI
Draw FT52.2%33.0%–70.8% CI
Away FT17.4%7.0%–37.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.30

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal73.9%
2+ goals39.1%
3+ goals13.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home56.5%
Away47.8%