Segunda Division · 2020/21
2021-04-11 · 17:15
11.5360.9%
X3.7125.1%
26.6614.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Mallorca
WWLLWLWWDW
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Lugo
LDDLDLLLDL
0W 4D 6L · 0.40 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
0.90
0.80
Conceded
2.20
50%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.50
1.20
2H goals
1.60
70%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.60N=10
For
4.10N=10
3.80
Against
5.60
9.40
Total
9.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
0.90
0.80
Goals conceded
2.20
2.40
Total goals
3.10
60%6/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Mallorca attack

1.60goals per match
Lugo conceded2.20
Matchup

Lugo attack

0.90goals per match
Mallorca conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.70
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.20
0.40
2H goals conceded
1.40
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.60N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
3.80
Corners against
5.60
9.40
Match total
9.70
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.90N=10
For
2.50N=10
5.00
Match total
4.30
60%6/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

16.60N=10
Committed
12.50N=10
30.40
Match total
26.60

Shots

12.70N=10
Shots
9.50N=10
5.20
On target
3.50
13%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches37
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home60.9%64.9%+4.0 pp
Draw25.1%29.7%+4.6 pp
Away14.0%5.4%-8.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.583.8%
Over 2.548.6%
Over 3.524.3%
BTTS51.4%

Historical average

1.860.70

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-021.6%
1-113.5%
2-113.5%
1-010.8%
2-210.8%

Comparable corner averages

5.543.68
Average total9.22

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=37.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.2%
Over 9.548.6%
Over 10.537.8%
Over 11.524.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT60.0%31.3%–83.2% CI
Draw FT40.0%16.8%–68.7% CI
Away FT0.0%0.0%–27.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.40

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal80.0%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals10.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home80.0%
Away30.0%